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Rasmussen Tracking Poll: Kerry 48%, Bush 46%


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Monday October 25, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows Senator John Kerry with 48% of the vote and President George W. Bush with 46%. The Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.

This is the first time Senator Kerry has held the lead since August 23. The 48.4% for Kerry is the Senator's highest total since August 17. Data for this update is collected on a three-day rolling average basis and Senator Kerry held the lead on each of the three days of polling.

When "leaners" are included, Kerry leads 49% to 48%. Leaners are those who initially do not express a preference for Bush or Kerry. We ask them a follow-up question to determine which way they are leaning at the moment.

For the first time in a month, the number saying the U.S. and its allies are winning the War on Terror and the number saying Bush is a better leader than Kerry both dipped below 50%.

Yesterday, we released state polling data for Iowa, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. The Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projection now shows Bush with 222 Electoral Votes and Kerry with 207. Additional state polling data will be released today at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

Other data released yesterday showed that just 13% of American voters favor a military draft. [More below]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm

oh...and kerry is pulling ahead of Bush in oregon and Michigan:D

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