sobe2003 Posted September 8 Report Share Posted September 8 Ivan takes a turn for the worse for South FloridaBy KEN KAYE sun-sentinel.com Posted September 8 2004, 4:18 PM EDT Hurricane Ivan's forecast track has taken a right turn - a turn for the worse for South Florida.Now a dangerous Category 4 system, packing 140 mph winds, Ivan is projected to follow a path similar to Hurricane Charley, coming up from the Caribbean and paralleling the southwest Gulf Coast.That could put it precariously close to this region.On that course, Ivan, with tropical force winds extending 160 miles from its core, would likely only deliver a glancing blow to South Florida -- with winds and rain.But with a slight wobble closer, it could produce as much and possibly more wet and gusty misery here as Hurricane Frances, which is still a fresh and harsh memory. South Florida would be on the right side of the storm, where the winds are strongest and the rain heaviest, said Jim Lushine, meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Miami."Another 12 inches of rain wouldn't be out of the question in this part of the state," he said. "It's certainly a threat."The bottom line: South Florida needs to be alert once again and brace for potential hurricane or tropical storm conditions as early as Saturday, but more likely Sunday or even as late as Monday."Everybody wants to know where it's going to hit," Jennifer Pralgo, meteorologist with the National Hurricane Center in Miami-Dade County, said Wednesday. "Unfortunately, let's wait and see. Make sure you're prepared."At 2 p.m. EDT, Hurricane Ivan was centered about 105 miles east of Bonaire with the eye expected to pass north of the Dutch islands Wednesday afternoon. Hurricane-force winds extended up to 70 miles and tropical storm-force winds another 160 miles. At 8 a.m. EDT, Ivan was centered near latitude 13.1 north, longitude 67.0 west, or about 740 miles southeast of Jamaica. It was moving west northwest at 16 mph.The tempest made a direct hit on Grenada on Tuesday, killing three people and leaving homes and businesses in rubble. It also caused damage on Barbados, St. Vincent and St. Lucia.Ivan was projected to build to 145 mph and churn over Jamaica on Friday and over west Cuba, and possibly Havana, on Sunday.If it collides with those land areas, it would likely be slowed down, but it was still forecast to emerge in the Florida Straits with 132 mph winds, Category 4 status and capable of massive destruction.Because the storm still is about four days away, the forecast track could easily take Ivan closer to or right over South Florida. The future track also could sway farther to the west, reducing the region's threat.If it generally follows the current track, it would be west of Fort Myers on Monday morning. From there it could threaten any of the Gulf Coast states.If it should hit the southern tip of the state and aim toward the Gold Coast, it is unlikely that it would remain an intense hurricane, with winds greater than 110. A hurricane that originated near the Cape Verde Islands, as Ivan was, has never come from the south and hit South Florida as a major storm, Lushine said.But he added, "Unprecedented things happen all the time with the weather."For now, the west coast of the state is most threatened, including flood-prone Tampa and Punta Gorda, which was slammed by Category 4 Hurricane Charley on Aug. 13.As with Frances, forecasters once again are faced with computer models that vastly disagree on where Ivan will go. Most of the models take it into the Gulf of Mexico, but close to the Gulf Coast. Some would take it east of the state, and parallel the coastline heading north.Hurricane forecasters average out the models and take other factors into account, such as information from hurricane hunter aircraft, then craft their best guess on where a storm will go."The track is changing all the time," Pralgo said. "We're trying to keep it steady. If we go with the models, we'll be going back and forth like a windshield wiper."The models' disagreement centers on whether a ridge of high pressure, north of Ivan's track, will weaken and allow the system to move to the north. That is the same high-pressure area that pushed Frances onto the Treasure Coast on Sunday."It's been a busy year," Pralgo, of the hurricane center, said. "Most of the hurricane specialists haven't taken their shutters down."Ken Kaye can be reached at kkaye@sun-sentinel.com. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jeffy1 Posted September 8 Report Share Posted September 8 here we go again Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
funketeer Posted September 8 Report Share Posted September 8 shut the fuck up! no way! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xxgrooveericxx Posted September 8 Report Share Posted September 8 Ivan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
l155a Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 GEE I LOVE WHERE MONDAY AT 8PM IS FORECASTED....RIGHT THE FUCK OVER ME 4 HOURS FROM MY B-DAY!!!!!!!! JESUS F-IN H MARY & CHRIST I AM SICK OF THIS SHIT Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
digitalphoenix Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 Preparense para mas agua PELOTUDOS!!!!!Translation:HEAD NORTH BITCHES!!!!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
l155a Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 HEAD NORTH BITCHES!!!!!!! WITH A FUCK BUDDY ON HAND!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
digitalphoenix Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 AAAMEN! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
funketeer Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 GEE I LOVE WHERE MONDAY AT 8PM IS FORECASTED....RIGHT THE FUCK OVER ME 4 HOURS FROM MY B-DAY!!!!!!!! JESUS F-IN H MARY & CHRIST I AM SICK OF THIS SHIT controversial but good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
b-side Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 I will come close but mostly the Keys, Florida City & Homestead will get tons of rain... I will do my best to make it stay in the gulf and go south of FL, but it has to go north somewhere sorry Panhandle & Talla-H. I just hope my flights arent fucked up again Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nadia73 Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 Preparense para mas agua PELOTUDOS!!!!!Translation:HEAD NORTH BITCHES!!!!!!! jesus christ.. i think i'll slit my own throat if i have to head north for another boring weekend of watching the weather channel. *sigh* Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
l155a Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 jesus christ.. i think i'll slit my own throat if i have to head north for another boring weekend of watching the weather channel. *sigh* i just sit in my house and pray the roof doesn't get ripped off with a mattress in hand ready to pile into the bathtub....that will be fun again!!!!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orisha Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 this sucks. I had plans..great plans Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patopeaking Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 isnt this part of life for you guys ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lolahotass Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 Glad I left my hurricane shutters up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
funketeer Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 this sucks. I had plans..great plans this sucks...I had plans...great plans...and they're STILL ON BITCHES!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
l155a Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 isnt this part of life for you guys ?it's becoming a weekly routine.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sunnyhost Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 Aw how sweet.....Mother Nature loves me so much that she's sending me a Hurricane on my birthday (Monday). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bling Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 my mom and grandparents already advised me we are driving to n. carolina we are not stickin around for this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deepspell Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 can't win.....even on my tiny vacation i cant get good weatheri'll be prayin for everyone....please be safe in your travels Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
emjay Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 can't win.....even on my tiny vacation i cant get good weatheri'll be prayin for everyone....please be safe in your travels so you're still going?hope everything's back to normal for the weekend i'll be there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deepspell Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 so you're still going?hope everything's back to normal for the weekend i'll be there. of course im goin!!! a lil hurricane isnt gunna scare me......i'll fuck that nucca ivan up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sobe2003 Posted September 9 Author Report Share Posted September 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nadia73 Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 I wonder if hurricane shutters will even do anything.. if this stays as strong.. it's a Cat 5 right now.. i'll probably have relatives in NC begging me to drive up there too.. :-/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happyface Posted September 9 Report Share Posted September 9 that shyt is gonna make a nasty turn(keep going str8 bitch!!) ! ! ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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